The green flag drops for the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 in ISM Raceway in suburban Phoenix on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET. After an electric start to the season at Daytona and two quick 1.5-mile paths in Atlanta and Las Vegas, Phoenix is the Monster Energy NASCAR cup series’ first race at the tighter quarters of this one-mile loop in ISM Raceway. Kevin Harvick has won four of the last five March races at this track and will be the 9-4 favorite to collect another win in the most current 2019 TicketGuardian 500 chances. Fellow veteran and Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin is getting 16-1, while Kurt Busch is at 30-1 NASCAR at Phoenix odds after a strong start to his season that has him eighth in the NASCAR standings. Prior to making your 2019 TicketGuardian 500 picks, make sure you check at the NASCAR at Phoenix projected leaderboard in the SportsLine Projection Model.
Developed by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive information engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track history and current results into consideration.
It made some enormous calls in NASCAR last year, such as correctly casting wins for Kyle Busch in Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. in Sonoma. Plus it’s off to a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin that a top-four contender and nailing eight of the top 10 drivers in last week’s Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its own projected top five. Anyone who has followed its selections is way up.
McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Events at iconic venues like ISM Raceway have been in his bloodstream. His model has now simulated Sunday’s 2019 NASCAR in Phoenix race 10,000 times and the results were surprising.
For the 2019 TicketGuardian 500, we can inform you the model is high on Clint Bowyer, making a strong run at the checkered flag despite heading off as a long shot at 25-1 NASCAR odds. He is a goal for anybody searching for a huge payday.
Bowyer broke a five-season drought without a win last year and proceeded to grab a pair of victories at Martinsville and Michigan on the way to a 12th-place finish in the NASCAR Playoffs. This season, he’s added a top-five complete at Atlanta and has shown impressive speed occasionally. Bowyer has seven career top-10s at Phoenix and won a truck series race at this track in 2010.
Bowyer, who drives for Stewart-Haas Racing, was also second in among this year’s Daytona Duels and shut out a year’s NASCAR schedule with an eight-place ending at Homestead. He will also come armed to the 2019 TicketGuardian 500 using a similar car set up to teammates Harvick and Aric Almirola.
One of the shocking 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix chooses from the version: Kevin Harvick, a nine-time winner in ISM Raceway along with the top Vegas favorite, makes a strong run but falls short of winning everything.
Harvick has made a career out of getting to the front of the pack consistently at this track. In Reality, He’s finished in the top 10 at 11 consecutive starts at ISM Raceway
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